Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's pledge to prevent World War III by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No major conflict • 25%
Localized conflict • 25%
Regional conflict • 25%
Global conflict • 25%
Official military conflict declarations or major international news outlets
Story
Trump Announces Gaza Ceasefire, Credits Historic Victory, Pledges to End Ukraine War and Prevent WW3
Jan 19, 2025, 11:20 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced at the Make America Great Again (MAGA) Victory Rally in Washington DC that a ceasefire agreement has been achieved in Gaza, describing it as an 'epic' first step toward lasting peace in the Middle East. Trump attributed the agreement to his historic victory in the November election. Additionally, Trump pledged to end the war in Ukraine, stop the chaos in the Middle East, and prevent World War III, emphasizing the urgency of these actions by stating that the world is on the verge of a global conflict.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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