Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's negotiations to end the Russia-Ukraine war by June 30, 2025?
3
Donald Trump•Trump•Mike Waltz•CBS News•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Zelensky•Middle East
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the involved governments and international news agencies
Story
Trump Claims 'Some Progress' in Ending Russia-Ukraine War, Plans Talks with Putin and Zelensky
Dec 16, 2024, 05:25 PM
US President-elect Donald Trump announced that his team is working to permanently end the Russia-Ukraine war, rather than merely pausing it. Trump's pick for national security advisor, Mike Waltz, told CBS News on Dec. 15 that the team is discussing how to end the conflict permanently. Trump stated that he has made 'some progress' in stopping the war, describing the situation as 'horrific' and 'carnage' that 'has got to stop'. He emphasized that the number of soldiers killed on both sides is 'astronomical' and 'far worse than reported in the media', and that he receives reports on casualties 'every week'. Trump plans to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to facilitate a resolution, noting that 'Zelensky should be prepared to make a deal'. He also acknowledged that the Russia-Ukraine situation will be 'more difficult than the Middle East'.
View original story
Similar markets
Talks Not Held • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
Talks held but no agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement on further talks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace negotiations started • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
No change in status • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Partial agreement on certain issues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed indefinitely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%