Market
What will be the main outcome of Trump's call for Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2025?
2
US•Donald Trump•Ukraine•Paris•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•French•Emmanuel Macron•Truth Social•Trump•Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations without ceasefire • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Official announcements or major international news outlets
Story
Trump Urges Immediate Ukraine Ceasefire After Paris Talks with Zelensky and Macron
Dec 8, 2024, 09:56 AM
US President-elect Donald Trump has called for an immediate ceasefire and negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine, following a meeting in Paris with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and French President Emmanuel Macron on December 7. Posting on his social network Truth Social, Trump emphasized that too many lives have been lost and that it is time to stop the "madness." He asserted that "Zelensky and Ukraine would like to make a deal and stop the madness." Zelensky responded that there could be no peace without guarantees. The war in Ukraine has resulted in hundreds of thousands of deaths.
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Similar markets
Increased hostilities • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Peace negotiations started • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Cease-fire agreement reached • 25%
Peace negotiations started • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Full acceptance • 25%
Partial acceptance • 25%
Rejection • 25%
No official response • 25%
Accepted but not implemented • 25%
Accepted and implemented • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No ceasefire, talks ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Rejected by Russia • 25%
Accepted by Russia and Ukraine • 25%
No proposal made • 25%
Rejected by Ukraine • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Ongoing talks • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
No negotiations • 25%