Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's availability in the U.S. by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or U.S. government
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available for 170 Million U.S. Users Amid Supreme Court Upholding Ban on ByteDance
Jan 17, 2025, 06:48 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew expressed gratitude to President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to finding a solution to keep the app available in the United States following the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a law that could ban TikTok. In a video message posted on TikTok, Chew thanked Trump for supporting the company's efforts to remain accessible to over 170 million U.S. users, emphasizing Trump's understanding of the platform and his use of it to generate over 60 billion views. The Supreme Court's unanimous ruling supports a law that requires TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban effective January 19. Trump has indicated that he will review the situation before making a decision on the app's future, leaving open the possibility of intervention to prevent the ban, which Chew argued is a stand for the First Amendment and against arbitrary censorship.
View original story
Similar markets
TikTok banned • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%