Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's availability in the US by Jan 31, 2025?
2
TikTok•Shou Zi Chew•Donald Trump•United States•Supreme Court•Chinese•ByteDance•Chew•American•Trump•Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains available • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Official announcements from the Trump administration, TikTok, or ByteDance
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available Amid Supreme Court Ban Threat
Jan 17, 2025, 06:39 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has expressed gratitude to President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to finding a solution that would allow the app to remain available in the United States. This comes after the Supreme Court upheld a law that could lead to a ban on TikTok starting Sunday, unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests its stake. Chew emphasized the importance of TikTok as a platform for free speech for its over 170 million American users. He highlighted Trump's understanding of the platform, noting that the president-elect has used TikTok to connect with audiences, amassing over 60 billion views. The Biden administration has decided not to enforce the ban, leaving the decision to Trump, who is set to be inaugurated on Monday. Chew is expected to attend the inauguration, signaling ongoing discussions between TikTok and the incoming administration.
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Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%