Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's situation in the US by January 20, 2025?
2
TikTok•United States•Biden•Biden Administration•White House•Department of Justice•Apple•Google•Amazon•Oracle
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from TikTok, the Biden administration, or major news outlets
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. on January 19, Impacting 170 Million Users, Unless Biden Intervenes
Jan 18, 2025, 01:41 AM
TikTok announced that it will shut down its app in the United States on Sunday, January 19, unless the Biden administration provides a definitive statement assuring that the ban on the app will not be enforced. The company stated, "Unless the Biden Administration immediately provides a definitive statement to satisfy the most critical service providers assuring non-enforcement, unfortunately TikTok will be forced to go dark on January 19." TikTok emphasized that current responses from the White House and the Department of Justice lack the necessary clarity for service providers such as Apple, Google, Amazon, and Oracle, which are essential for maintaining the app's availability to over 170 million active U.S. users. The company is urging the administration to provide the required assurances to prevent the app from going offline.
View original story
Similar markets
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
TikTok remains available • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok remains available under new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%