Market
What will be the outcome of the U.S. reward offer for Nicolás Maduro by the end of 2025?
2
United States•Venezuelan•Nicolás Maduro•Maduro•Diosdado Cabello•Venezuela•Peace•Vladimir Padrino López
Resolution / Starting Odds
Arrested • 25%
Surrenders • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or Venezuelan authorities
Story
US Raises Rewards to $25 Million for Maduro and Cabello, $15 Million for Padrino López
Jan 10, 2025, 03:42 PM
The United States has escalated its pressure on the Venezuelan regime by increasing the reward for the arrest of President Nicolás Maduro and other key figures. The reward for information leading to Maduro's arrest on narcotics charges has been raised to $25 million, the maximum allowed. Similarly, the reward for Diosdado Cabello, Venezuela's Minister of Interior, Justice, and Peace, has been increased to $25 million. A new reward of $15 million has been set for Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López. Alongside these measures, the U.S. has imposed sanctions on eight Venezuelan officials and announced new visa restrictions on individuals linked to the regime's institutions. These actions coincide with Maduro's inauguration for a new term, which the U.S. and its allies do not recognize as legitimate.
View original story
Similar markets
Captured but not extradited • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Captured and extradited • 25%
Not captured • 25%
Negotiations or talks initiated • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro removed from power • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro agrees to new elections • 25%
Maduro ousted through internal uprising • 25%
Other • 25%
Maduro ousted through international intervention • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
