Market
How will the Venezuelan government react to increased U.S. bounty on Maduro by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Negotiations or talks initiated • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Statements from the Venezuelan government or reports from international news agencies
Story
Rick Scott Proposes $100 Million Bounty as U.S. Increases Reward for Nicolás Maduro to $25 Million
Jan 15, 2025, 02:56 PM
U.S. Senator Rick Scott has proposed increasing the bounty for the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro to $100 million, calling him a dangerous adversary to the United States. This comes as the U.S. government has recently announced a $25 million reward for Maduro's arrest, equating him with some of the world's worst terrorists. The U.S. has also begun distributing wanted posters for Maduro and Diosdado Cabello, another prominent figure in the Venezuelan regime. Reports indicate that these posters have been vandalized in Oslo, according to the Maduro government.
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No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation from major countries • 25%
Support for Venezuela's actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Surrenders • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Arrested • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Vladimir Padrino López • 25%
Diosdado Cabello • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
None • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Other significant response • 25%
Increased repression • 25%
Dialogue with opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro removed from power • 25%
Maduro agrees to new elections • 25%