Market
How will U.S. visa policy towards Venezuelan individuals change by mid-2025?
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United States•Venezuelan•Nicolás Maduro•Maduro•Diosdado Cabello•Venezuela•Peace•Vladimir Padrino López
Resolution / Starting Odds
More restrictions • 25%
Less restrictions • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
US Raises Rewards to $25 Million for Maduro and Cabello, $15 Million for Padrino López
Jan 10, 2025, 03:42 PM
The United States has escalated its pressure on the Venezuelan regime by increasing the reward for the arrest of President Nicolás Maduro and other key figures. The reward for information leading to Maduro's arrest on narcotics charges has been raised to $25 million, the maximum allowed. Similarly, the reward for Diosdado Cabello, Venezuela's Minister of Interior, Justice, and Peace, has been increased to $25 million. A new reward of $15 million has been set for Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López. Alongside these measures, the U.S. has imposed sanctions on eight Venezuelan officials and announced new visa restrictions on individuals linked to the regime's institutions. These actions coincide with Maduro's inauguration for a new term, which the U.S. and its allies do not recognize as legitimate.
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Policy becomes more lenient • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes stricter • 25%
Policy suspended • 25%
Ease sanctions • 25%
Increase sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintain current sanctions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Extension for Salvadorans only • 25%
Further extension for both • 25%
Extension for Venezuelans only • 25%
No further extensions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other alignment • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Remains aligned with Russia/China/Iran • 25%
Aligns more with the US • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
New sanctions added • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Sanctions unchanged • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Stricter policies implemented • 25%
Other changes • 25%
More lenient policies implemented • 25%
Domestic political pressure • 25%
Improved conditions in home countries • 25%
Other • 25%
International diplomatic considerations • 25%