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What will be the outcome of the National Dialogue Conference by March 31, 2025?
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Syrian•HTS•National Dialogue Conference•Syrian Ministry of Defense•Kurdish•Kurds•Syria•PKK•Syrian Democratic Forces•SDF
Resolution / Starting Odds
HTS dissolved, Kurdish forces integrated • 25%
HTS dissolved, Kurdish forces not integrated • 25%
HTS not dissolved, Kurdish forces integrated • 25%
HTS not dissolved, Kurdish forces not integrated • 25%
Official reports from the National Dialogue Conference or reputable news agencies
Story
Syrian Leader Ahmed al-Sharaa Announces HTS Dissolution at National Dialogue Conference and Kurdish Integration Plans Amid PKK Concerns
Dec 29, 2024, 09:51 AM
Ahmed al-Sharaa, the de facto leader of the new Syrian administration, announced that the dissolution of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) will be declared at the upcoming National Dialogue Conference. This decision is part of broader reforms within the Syrian Ministry of Defense, which plans to integrate Kurdish forces into its ranks, emphasizing that Kurds are an inseparable part of Syria. Al-Sharaa also stated that Syria will not allow itself to be used as a base for PKK attacks, asserting a commitment to national unity and rejecting any form of division or federalism within the country. Negotiations with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are ongoing to address the northern Syria crisis, with a focus on maintaining Syria's territorial integrity.
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No progress made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Drafting process completed • 25%
Drafting process initiated • 25%
HTS restructured • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
HTS dissolved • 25%
No change to HTS • 25%
Draft completed • 25%
No progress • 25%
Drafting process begins • 25%
Drafting process delayed • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
National unity government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement signed and implemented • 25%
Agreement not signed • 25%
Agreement signed but not implemented • 25%
Agreement delayed • 25%
Economic development • 25%
Social and cultural policies • 25%
Security and military issues • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
New coalition government formed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Continued dialogue without agreement • 25%
Breakdown in talks • 25%
Formal political agreement • 25%
Nationwide ceasefire • 25%