Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into Shunxing39's cable damage by May 31, 2025?
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Taiwan•South Korea•Chinese•Shunxing39•Keelung•Taiwanese•Chunghwa Telecom•Cameroonian•Jie Yang Trading Limited•Hong Kong•Pusan•South Korean•NTT•Korea Telecom•China Telecom
Resolution / Starting Odds
Found guilty of sabotage • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from South Korean authorities or international news agencies
Story
Taiwan Seeks South Korea's Help Over Shunxing39, Suspected in Anchor-Dragging Cable Sabotage
Jan 5, 2025, 10:03 AM
Taiwan has requested South Korea's assistance in investigating a Chinese-owned cargo vessel, Shunxing39, suspected of damaging a subsea communications cable near Taiwan's northern coast on January 3. The incident occurred close to the port of Keelung, and Taiwanese authorities, including Chunghwa Telecom, believe the damage may have been caused by anchor-dragging, which they have suggested could be an act of sabotage. The Shunxing39, which is registered under a Cameroonian flag but owned by Jie Yang Trading Limited, a Hong Kong-based company, is currently en route to Pusan, South Korea. Taiwan's coast guard has asked South Korean authorities to investigate the ship upon its arrival, as they were unable to question the captain. The damaged cable, which connects Taiwan to the U.S. West Coast, is part of an international consortium involving companies such as AT&T, NTT, Korea Telecom, and China Telecom. Taiwan has expressed concerns about potential Chinese efforts to disrupt its external communications, citing past incidents involving Chinese vessels damaging undersea cables.
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Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Shunxin39 found responsible • 25%
Shunxin39 exonerated • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
No investigation results released • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Intentional sabotage confirmed • 25%
Accidental damage by Shunxin39 • 25%
Cause remains undetermined • 25%
Involvement of another entity • 25%
Intentional sabotage by Shunxin39 • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Court ruling • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technical failure • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Closed without resolution • 25%
Resolved with conviction • 25%
Resolved without conviction • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
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