Market
What will be the outcome of the first official meeting between Turkey and the new Syrian government by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, but talks continue • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
No meeting held • 25%
Official statements from Turkish and Syrian governments, credible news outlets
Story
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan Plans Dialogue with New Syrian Government, Citing 10 Years of HTS Cooperation and No Terrorism
Dec 21, 2024, 12:19 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has announced plans to engage with the new Syrian government, emphasizing the need for dialogue. He stated that Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) has not been involved in any terrorist activities over the past decade, a point corroborated by Western intelligence agencies. Fidan highlighted that HTS has cooperated with Turkey in intelligence gathering regarding ISIS and Al-Qaeda. He also mentioned that the YPG/PKK, which he described as an artificially created terrorist organization, is well aware of Turkey's objectives. Fidan's comments reflect a shift in Turkey's approach towards the Syrian conflict and its actors, as he prepares for discussions with officials from the new Syrian administration in Damascus.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant agreements reached • 25%
Agreement on border security • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Agreement on refugee return • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic initiative • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Cultural exchange program initiation • 25%
Joint military cooperation announcement • 25%
Signing of a trade agreement • 25%
