Market
What will be the outcome of the federal court ruling on Trump's birthright citizenship order by end of 2025?
3
American Civil Liberties Union•ACLU•Trump•New Hampshire•Donald Trump•American•14th Amendment•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Order upheld • 25%
Order struck down • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Federal court ruling documents or announcements
Story
ACLU Sues Trump Administration in New Hampshire Federal Court Over Birthright Citizenship Order
Jan 21, 2025, 04:34 AM
The American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) has filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration in federal court in New Hampshire over an executive order aimed at ending birthright citizenship. The order, signed by President Donald Trump, seeks to block illegal immigrants and other temporary visitors from obtaining citizenship for their U.S.-born children. The ACLU argues that denying citizenship to U.S.-born children is unconstitutional and contrary to American values, as birthright citizenship is guaranteed by the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. The Trump administration contends that the 14th Amendment has always excluded from birthright citizenship those not 'subject to the jurisdiction' of the United States.
View original story
Similar markets
Case dismissed • 25%
Order fully overturned • 25%
Order partially overturned • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Uphold the order • 25%
Block the order • 25%
Modify the order • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Order partially upheld • 25%
Order overturned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Order partially blocked • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order modified • 25%
No decision in 2025 • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Struck down • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Rescinded or not implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Congressional amendment • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
No change • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%