Market
What will be the primary legal outcome of challenges to Trump's birthright citizenship order by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld • 25%
Struck down • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Supreme Court or federal court rulings
Story
Trump Signs Executive Order to End Birthright Citizenship Under 14th Amendment, Faces Legal Challenges
Jan 20, 2025, 05:11 PM
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order aimed at ending birthright citizenship for children born in the United States to parents who are illegal immigrants. This action, part of a series of executive orders signed on his first day in office, seeks to clarify the definition of birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment. The order specifies that the federal government will not recognize automatic birthright citizenship for children of illegal immigrants born in the U.S. on a prospective basis. The move is expected to face legal challenges, as it potentially conflicts with the 14th Amendment, which guarantees citizenship to anyone born in the U.S. and subject to its jurisdiction. Trump's administration also plans to enhance vetting and screening of illegal immigrants as part of this policy shift.
View original story
Similar markets
Upheld by courts • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Order overturned • 25%
Order partially upheld • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Order partially blocked • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
No decision • 34%
Upheld • 33%
Overturned • 33%
No decision in 2025 • 25%
Order modified • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Struck Down • 25%
Upheld • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order struck down • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
No change • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rescinded or not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%