Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's executive order on birthright citizenship by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or legislative actions
Story
Trump Promises to End Birthright Citizenship, Plans Executive Orders on First Day in Office
Dec 14, 2024, 02:30 PM
President-elect Donald J. Trump has reiterated his intention to end birthright citizenship for children born in the U.S. to non-citizen parents, a move that aligns with his campaign promises to restrict immigration. Trump is expected to sign executive orders on his first day in office aimed at implementing this policy, which would also include measures to increase deportations of individuals without criminal records, bolster troop presence at the U.S.-Mexico border, and resume construction of the border wall. The concept of birthright citizenship has been a part of U.S. law for over 150 years, raising questions about the legal basis for such a significant change and how the courts might respond to these proposed actions.
View original story
Similar markets
Implemented without legal challenge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturned by Congress • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Order implemented • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Order overturned by Congress • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
Pending • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Struck down • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
Policy Withdrawn • 25%
Policy Implemented • 25%
Blocked by Congress • 25%
Blocked by Courts • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Rescinded or not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Executive order issued but struck down • 25%
Executive order issued and upheld • 25%
No executive order issued • 25%
Constitutional amendment proposed • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
No change • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
Policy change blocked by courts • 25%
Policy change implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy change not pursued • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Order struck down • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order overturned • 25%
Order partially upheld • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Order upheld • 25%