Market
What will be the outcome of legal challenges to Trump's birthright citizenship order by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld by courts • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Decisions published by the U.S. Supreme Court or other federal courts, reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Plans to End Birthright Citizenship on Day One
Dec 11, 2024, 08:47 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced his intention to end birthright citizenship in the United States as part of his broader immigration reform agenda. This policy change, which Trump aims to implement on his first day in office, would significantly alter the current practice where children born on U.S. soil automatically become U.S. citizens. The move has sparked debate and legal scrutiny, with experts questioning its constitutionality. Trump's promise comes amidst discussions on how to address immigration, particularly at the southern border, and reflects his campaign's focus on immigration reform.
View original story
Similar markets
Order partially upheld • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order overturned • 25%
Struck down • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order partially blocked • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
No decision in 2025 • 25%
Order modified • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Struck Down • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Order struck down • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
No change • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Rescinded or not implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Pending • 25%
Struck down • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%