Market
What will be the outcome of security concerns regarding China's mega-embassy by end of 2025?
1
UK•David Lammy•Yvette Cooper•China•London•Planning Inspectorate for England•Financial Times•Royal Mint•Metropolitan Police•Tower Hamlets
Resolution / Starting Odds
Concerns mitigated with measures • 25%
Concerns ignored • 25%
Project altered significantly • 25%
Project cancelled due to concerns • 25%
Official statements or reports from UK intelligence agencies or government
Story
UK Ministers David Lammy and Yvette Cooper Support China's Mega-Embassy at Royal Mint Site Despite Security Concerns
Jan 16, 2025, 10:48 AM
UK ministers David Lammy and Yvette Cooper have signaled support for China's proposed mega-embassy in London, according to a letter to the Planning Inspectorate for England seen by the Financial Times. The proposed diplomatic complex is set to be built on the former Royal Mint site. The ministers have outlined conditions for the project, emphasizing the importance of both the UK and China having functioning diplomatic premises. This move comes despite objections from the Metropolitan Police and concerns raised by UK intelligence agencies regarding security risks associated with the embassy's location near vital communication cables and a major transport artery. The development has also faced opposition from Tower Hamlets, which unanimously ruled against the project. Critics argue that the embassy could be used for spying and targeting activists in the UK, highlighting the government's apparent disregard for local and security concerns in favor of diplomatic relations with China.
View original story
Similar markets
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant TIP activity in China • 25%
TIP shifts focus away from China • 25%
TIP strengthens presence in Xinjiang • 25%
TIP launches attacks in China • 25%
National Security • 25%
Geopolitical Influence • 25%
Economic Interests • 25%
Trade Dominance • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Enhanced public space security • 25%
No significant measures • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Stricter vehicle regulations • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Unaware • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No significant diplomatic change • 25%
Increase diplomatic pressure on neighboring countries • 25%
Seek international coalition against TIP • 25%
Strengthen internal security measures • 25%
Evacuation halted • 25%
Complete evacuation • 25%
No evacuation • 25%
Partial evacuation • 25%