Market
What will be China's primary diplomatic response to TIP threats by end of 2025?
2
Turkistan Islamic Party•TIP•Syrian•China•Muslims•East Turkistan•Chinese•Assad•Beijing•Islamist Uyghur•Xinjiang•Syria•Afghanistan•Uyghur
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase diplomatic pressure on neighboring countries • 25%
Seek international coalition against TIP • 25%
Strengthen internal security measures • 25%
No significant diplomatic change • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs or major international news coverage
Story
Uyghur Militants Threaten China After Toppling Assad, Beijing Calls for Stability
Dec 14, 2024, 12:10 PM
Uyghur fighters from the Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP), a militant group that played a role in the recent toppling of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, have vowed to turn their attention to China next. The group aims to 'liberate the Muslims of East Turkistan from the Chinese occupation.' This shift in focus comes after the collapse of the Assad regime, with TIP fighters now threatening Beijing in a video released on December 8. The TIP, which seeks to establish an Islamist Uyghur separatist state in Xinjiang, has been involved in conflicts in Syria and Afghanistan, gaining experience and potentially posing a new challenge to China's security. Beijing has expressed concern over the group's activities and has urged global action against Uyghur rebels, while also calling for stability in Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Condemnation of TIP • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for China's security measures • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with neighboring countries • 25%
Increased military action in Xinjiang • 25%
Cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increase in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Reduction in diplomatic engagements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military deterrence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Human Rights Issues • 25%
Military Provisions • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Measures • 25%
Strengthen economic ties with Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Develop new trade routes with non-Western countries • 25%
Increase foreign reserve diversification • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
Recall ambassador from U.S. • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
No significant diplomatic response • 25%
Pacific Deterrence Initiative • 25%
Military support for Taiwan • 25%
FCC's 'rip and replace' program • 25%
Overall U.S. defense spending • 25%