Market
Outcome of potential peace talks between Israel and Syrian factions by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Official announcements from peace talks or credible news sources
Story
Israeli Navy Destroys Syrian Fleet at Latakia; Defense Minister Katz Warns Against Following Assad's Path
Dec 10, 2024, 01:53 PM
The Israeli Navy conducted a large-scale operation on Monday night, destroying the Syrian military fleet. Naval missile ships targeted and eliminated numerous Syrian navy vessels armed with sea-to-sea missiles at Minet el-Beida bay and the port of Latakia, ensuring advanced weaponry doesn't reach hostile forces. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz confirmed the operation, stating, 'We destroyed the Syrian Navy yesterday.' He added that the operation was part of a broader campaign to eliminate strategic threats to Israel following the collapse of the Assad regime. Warning that 'whoever follows Assad's path will end up like Assad,' Katz emphasized Israel's commitment to preventing extremist groups from threatening its borders and citizens.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Talks scheduled for future • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks held, no resolution • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel agrees to withdraw • 25%
Israel increases presence • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%