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What will be the outcome of OpenAI's AGI clause discussions with Microsoft by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Clause removed • 25%
Clause modified • 25%
Clause retained • 25%
No decision announced • 25%
Official announcements from OpenAI or Microsoft, or reports from reputable financial news outlets
Story
OpenAI in Talks to Drop AGI Clause, Unlock Billions from Microsoft
Dec 6, 2024, 12:51 PM
OpenAI is in discussions to remove a clause from its corporate structure that currently limits Microsoft's access to its most advanced AI models upon the achievement of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This move is aimed at securing additional funding from Microsoft, which has been a significant investor in the AI startup. The clause in question would have cut off Microsoft's access to OpenAI's technology when AGI is achieved, a milestone to be determined by OpenAI's board. The potential change in the agreement is being discussed with investors and directly with Microsoft, according to reports from the Financial Times. The discussions come at a time when OpenAI is looking to unlock billions of dollars in future investment, potentially impacting Microsoft's $MSFT stock.
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Clause removed • 25%
No decision made • 25%
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Achieved $100 billion profit • 25%
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Microsoft divests completely • 25%
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AGI clause removed, no additional changes • 25%
No change in the partnership agreement • 25%
AGI clause remains, increased collaboration in other areas • 25%
AGI clause removed, increased Microsoft investment • 25%