Market
What will be the outcome of Google's request regarding Microsoft's OpenAI agreement by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement dissolved • 25%
Agreement modified • 25%
Request denied • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Google Requests U.S. to End Microsoft's Exclusive Agreement to Host OpenAI Technology on Cloud Servers
Dec 11, 2024, 07:55 AM
Google has formally requested the U.S. government to intervene and dissolve Microsoft's exclusive agreement with OpenAI, which allows Microsoft to host OpenAI's technology on its cloud servers. This move is part of Google's broader strategy to enhance its competitive position in the artificial intelligence sector, particularly against Microsoft's growing influence through its partnership with OpenAI. The request has been reported by multiple sources, highlighting the escalating competition in the AI market between these tech giants.
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Ongoing • 25%
Dismissal • 25%
Prosecution • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Deal approved with conditions • 25%
Deal blocked • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal investigation launched • 25%
No decision announced • 25%
Clause modified • 25%
Clause retained • 25%
Clause removed • 25%
Moderate new funding secured • 25%
No new funding secured • 25%
Significant new funding secured • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
DeepSeek found guilty • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
DeepSeek found not guilty • 25%
Microsoft divests completely • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased stake • 25%
Increased stake • 25%
DeepSeek found guilty • 25%
DeepSeek found not guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
AGI clause removed, increased Microsoft investment • 25%
No change in the partnership agreement • 25%
AGI clause remains, increased collaboration in other areas • 25%
AGI clause removed, no additional changes • 25%