Market
What will be the outcome of mass protests in South Korea by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests subside without major changes • 25%
Protests escalate into larger political movement • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Reports from major news agencies such as Yonhap News Agency and Reuters
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment Motion; Ruling Party Opposes
Dec 4, 2024, 03:49 PM
South Korea's political landscape is in turmoil following President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief imposition of martial law, which lasted for 12 hours. This unprecedented move has led to a formal impeachment motion introduced by six opposition parties in the National Assembly. The motion, signed by 190 opposition lawmakers and one independent, is set for a vote tomorrow. Despite the political crisis, the ruling People Power Party has decided to oppose the impeachment, standing by President Yoon. The situation has caused significant backlash, with mass protests forcing the president to revoke the martial law declaration after six hours. The country's allies were caught off guard by the decision, which has plunged South Korea into its deepest political turmoil in modern democratic history.
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Similar markets
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
No protests held • 25%
Protests held in some cities • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests held in all four cities • 25%
Mass Protests Occur • 25%
Minor Protests Occur • 25%
No Significant Protests • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Subside • 33%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Governmental changes • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
