Market
What will be President Yoon's political future if impeachment fails by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains in office with full powers • 25%
Faces another impeachment attempt • 25%
Voluntarily steps down • 25%
Undergoes significant political reform • 25%
Official announcements and major news reports
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment Motion; Ruling Party Opposes
Dec 4, 2024, 03:49 PM
South Korea's political landscape is in turmoil following President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief imposition of martial law, which lasted for 12 hours. This unprecedented move has led to a formal impeachment motion introduced by six opposition parties in the National Assembly. The motion, signed by 190 opposition lawmakers and one independent, is set for a vote tomorrow. Despite the political crisis, the ruling People Power Party has decided to oppose the impeachment, standing by President Yoon. The situation has caused significant backlash, with mass protests forcing the president to revoke the martial law declaration after six hours. The country's allies were caught off guard by the decision, which has plunged South Korea into its deepest political turmoil in modern democratic history.
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Similar markets
Forms a new political party • 25%
Joins another political party • 25%
No significant political role • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resigns from office • 25%
Impeached by National Assembly • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Other resolution • 34%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%
Other • 25%
Opposition Leader • 25%
Deputy Prime Minister • 25%
Prime Minister • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Yoon resigns before conclusion • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Partial ruling • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%