Market
What will be the outcome of Jordan-Syria relations post-WSJ report by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Official statements from the Jordanian or Syrian governments or international news reports
Story
Jordanian Embassy Denies WSJ's Baseless Claims of Urging Assad to Leave Syria
Dec 6, 2024, 10:13 PM
The Jordanian government has officially denied claims made by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that it encouraged Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to leave Syria and form a government in exile. The Jordanian Embassy in Washington stated that these allegations are baseless and that they were never contacted by the WSJ for verification. The embassy emphasized that there is no foundation for the claims and expressed regret that a reputable media outlet disseminated such misleading information. This denial was echoed by various Jordanian officials and media sources, reinforcing the assertion that the report lacks credibility.
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Peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic break • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued non-engagement • 25%
Increased tensions or conflict • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
No official stance taken • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Hostile • 25%
Friendly • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Further isolated • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%