Market
How will the WSJ-Jordan credibility issue over Assad report be resolved by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
WSJ apologizes • 25%
Jordan accepts explanation • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
Issue remains unresolved • 25%
Official statements from WSJ or the Jordanian government, or third-party mediation reports
Story
Jordanian Embassy Denies WSJ's Baseless Claims of Urging Assad to Leave Syria
Dec 6, 2024, 10:13 PM
The Jordanian government has officially denied claims made by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that it encouraged Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to leave Syria and form a government in exile. The Jordanian Embassy in Washington stated that these allegations are baseless and that they were never contacted by the WSJ for verification. The embassy emphasized that there is no foundation for the claims and expressed regret that a reputable media outlet disseminated such misleading information. This denial was echoed by various Jordanian officials and media sources, reinforcing the assertion that the report lacks credibility.
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Increase in credibility • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
The report was accurate • 25%
The report was inaccurate • 25%
Incomplete findings • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Fabrication not confirmed • 25%
No findings released • 25%
Fabrication confirmed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Identity remains unconfirmed • 25%
Other conclusion • 25%
Confirmed as Salama Mohammad Salama • 25%
Confirmed as Adel Gharbal • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Inconclusive/No finding • 25%
Confirmed assassination attempt • 25%
Accidental poisoning • 25%
Natural illness • 25%