Market
What will be the outcome of Israeli military preparations against the Houthis by March 31, 2025?
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Israel•Houthi•Yemen•Israelis•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Houthis•Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation•Israeli•United States•Ministry of Defense•Sanaa•Red Sea
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full-scale military operation • 25%
Limited airstrikes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or credible news outlets reporting on military actions
Story
Israel Plans Military Response to Houthi Attacks Following Missile Launch from Yemen, Intercepting 220 Missiles
Dec 17, 2024, 01:00 PM
Israel is preparing to respond militarily to the Houthi movement in Yemen following a series of missile and drone attacks that have targeted the country since October 7. The escalation began with a ballistic missile launched from Yemen that forced millions of Israelis into bomb shelters. In response, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) intercepted the missile and initiated plans for decisive strikes against Houthi positions in Yemen. Reports indicate that Israel has intercepted over 220 ballistic missiles and drones launched by the Houthis during this period. The Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation has confirmed that preparations are underway for a military offensive against the Houthis, with Israeli military sources stating that intensive preparations are being made. Concurrently, the United States has conducted airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen, including a strike on the Ministry of Defense building in Sanaa, marking a significant escalation in the conflict. The U.S. strikes are reportedly aimed at deterring further Houthi attacks, which have included targeting civilian shipping in the Red Sea.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No military action • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
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Limited Houthi infrastructure damaged • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
No significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Significant Houthi infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Houthi Retaliation • 25%
Significant Reduction in Houthi Attacks • 25%
Stalemate with No Significant Change • 25%
No military response • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Airstrikes only • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
No military action • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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Operation escalates • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Operation ongoing • 25%
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
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Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%