Market
Will an international body declare Maduro's 2024 election win illegitimate by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from organizations such as the United Nations, Organization of American States, or European Union
Story
Maduro Sworn In for Third Term Until 2031 Amid Opposition Claims of Fraud
Jan 10, 2025, 02:54 PM
On January 10, 2025, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, in power since 2013, was sworn in for a third term, extending his presidency until 2031. The inauguration ceremony took place at the National Assembly in Caracas, where Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez bestowed the presidential sash. Maduro proceeded with the ceremony despite credible evidence of electoral fraud and allegations from the opposition that their candidate, Edmundo González, won the June 28, 2024, election. The opposition accuses Maduro of refusing to release the official vote tallies, known as actas. The inauguration occurred amid widespread protests and international criticism, including demonstrations on the eve of the ceremony. In his speech, Maduro promised that his new term would usher in a period of peace, equality, and democracy.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More countries recognize Maduro • 25%
More countries withdraw recognition • 25%
Recognition status remains largely unchanged • 25%
Other diplomatic changes • 25%
European Union • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
None • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Continued non-recognition • 25%
Full recognition • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Partial recognition • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
None by January 31 • 25%