Market
What will be the level of international recognition of Maduro's presidency by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widely recognized • 25%
Partially recognized • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from major countries and international organizations
Story
Maduro Sworn In for Third Term Until 2031 Amid Opposition Claims of Fraud
Jan 10, 2025, 02:54 PM
On January 10, 2025, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, in power since 2013, was sworn in for a third term, extending his presidency until 2031. The inauguration ceremony took place at the National Assembly in Caracas, where Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez bestowed the presidential sash. Maduro proceeded with the ceremony despite credible evidence of electoral fraud and allegations from the opposition that their candidate, Edmundo González, won the June 28, 2024, election. The opposition accuses Maduro of refusing to release the official vote tallies, known as actas. The inauguration occurred amid widespread protests and international criticism, including demonstrations on the eve of the ceremony. In his speech, Maduro promised that his new term would usher in a period of peace, equality, and democracy.
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Recognition status remains largely unchanged • 25%
More countries withdraw recognition • 25%
More countries recognize Maduro • 25%
Other diplomatic changes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Not recognized • 25%
Other • 25%
Conditional recognition • 25%
Recognized • 25%
Continued non-recognition • 25%
Partial recognition • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Full recognition • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
None of the above • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
Edmundo González Urrutia • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Other • 25%