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What will be the international response to the Venezuelan situation by February 28, 2025?
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Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•National Electoral Council•CNE•Plataforma Unitaria Democrática•PUD•Edmundo González Urrutia•González Urrutia•Spain•Venezuelan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Statements from international organizations or governments
Story
Venezuela Deploys 1,200 Troops for Maduro's Inauguration Amid Dispute, $100,000 Reward for Opposition Leader
Jan 4, 2025, 12:18 PM
Venezuela is deploying 1,200 military personnel across the country to ensure peace and security ahead of the presidential inauguration scheduled for January 10, 2025. This deployment is in response to the upcoming swearing-in of President Nicolás Maduro, who has been proclaimed the winner of the July 28 elections by the National Electoral Council (CNE). However, the opposition, grouped under the Plataforma Unitaria Democrática (PUD), has denounced the election results as fraudulent and claims that their candidate, Edmundo González Urrutia, won the presidency. González Urrutia, who has been in exile in Spain since September, plans to return to Venezuela for the inauguration and has called on citizens to uphold the electoral mandate. Amidst these tensions, the Venezuelan police have offered a $100,000 reward for information leading to González Urrutia's capture, accusing him of various crimes including conspiracy and complicity in violent acts against the state.
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No significant action • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Non-UN international intervention occurs • 25%
UN-backed intervention occurs • 25%
No military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Strong support • 25%
Strong opposition • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from other countries • 25%
Condemnation from international organizations • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Venezuela's stance • 25%
Call for dialogue between Venezuela and Colombia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Venezuela's actions • 25%
Other significant response • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased repression • 25%
Dialogue with opposition • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
New elections held • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Protests escalate into violence • 25%
Protests subside with González in power • 25%
Protests subside with Maduro in power • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%