Market
What will be the change in OpenAI's cloud hosting partnerships by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
OpenAI partners with Google • 25%
OpenAI partners with Amazon • 25%
OpenAI maintains exclusive Microsoft partnership • 25%
Other partnership • 25%
Official announcements from OpenAI or partner companies, or credible news sources
Story
Google Requests U.S. to End Microsoft's Exclusive Agreement to Host OpenAI Technology on Cloud Servers
Dec 11, 2024, 07:55 AM
Google has formally requested the U.S. government to intervene and dissolve Microsoft's exclusive agreement with OpenAI, which allows Microsoft to host OpenAI's technology on its cloud servers. This move is part of Google's broader strategy to enhance its competitive position in the artificial intelligence sector, particularly against Microsoft's growing influence through its partnership with OpenAI. The request has been reported by multiple sources, highlighting the escalating competition in the AI market between these tech giants.
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Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Switches to Google Cloud • 25%
Remains exclusive with Microsoft • 25%
Switches to AWS • 25%
Other • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Oracle • 25%
SoftBank • 25%
AGI clause removed, increased Microsoft investment • 25%
No change in the partnership agreement • 25%
AGI clause remains, increased collaboration in other areas • 25%
AGI clause removed, no additional changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Amazon • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other • 25%
Google • 25%
Other structural change • 25%
Hybrid model • 25%
Remains non-profit • 25%
Fully transitions to for-profit • 25%
Remains a non-profit • 25%
Traditional for-profit corporation • 25%
Delaware Public Benefit Corporation • 25%
Other restructuring • 25%
Adopts a different structure • 25%
Decision postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Successfully restructures into a PBC • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Improved Slightly • 25%
Declined • 25%
Improved Significantly • 25%