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What will be the international response to Turkish threat against Israeli aircraft by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation of Turkey • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international organizations like the UN or NATO, or actions taken by major world powers
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Turkey Warns It Will Shoot Down Israeli Aircraft Supporting PKK, YPG in Syria After U.S. Drone Incident
Dec 14, 2024, 06:05 AM
Turkey has issued a warning regarding potential military action against Israeli aircraft in Syria. Reports indicate that the Turkish General Staff has received orders to shoot down Israeli warplanes if they provide support to Kurdish forces, specifically the PKK (Kurdistan Workers' Party) and YPG (People's Protection Units). This comes amid claims that Syrian Kurdish groups have sought assistance from Israel, including air support against Turkish-backed forces. Turkish media has emphasized that the Kurdish factions are considered adversaries of the new Syrian government, further complicating the already tense dynamics in the region. The situation escalated following an incident where a U.S. drone was reportedly shot down by PKK militants, who mistakenly believed it to be a Turkish aircraft.
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Military engagement occurs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation of Turkey's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation and dialogue • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Calls for diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
Neutral stance by major powers • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for restraint and diplomatic talks • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No action • 25%
Sanctions by US • 25%
Sanctions by EU • 25%