Market
How will the international community respond to Turkey's potential military operation by April 30, 2025?
2
Turkey•Kurdish YPG•Syria•Hakan Fidan•Ankara•Fidan•Iran•Iraq•United States•Turkish Armed Forces•Syrian National Army•SNA•Peace Spring Operation•Tishrin Dam•Aleppo•Turkish Defense Ministry•Syrian leadership•YPG
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation of Turkey's actions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation and dialogue • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international organizations or governments
Story
Turkey Threatens Military Operation Against Kurdish YPG Near Tishrin Dam, Citing Use of Civilians as Shields
Jan 9, 2025, 01:01 AM
Turkey has escalated its stance against the Kurdish YPG militia in Syria, with Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stating that a military operation will be launched if the group does not comply with Ankara's demands. Fidan emphasized that international terrorist fighters from Turkey, Iran, and Iraq must leave Syria immediately. The ultimatum was communicated through the United States and the media. Turkey has been actively preparing for potential operations, with the Turkish Armed Forces on alert and the Syrian National Army (SNA) deploying heavy weapons and fighters to front lines in the Peace Spring Operation area. These preparations include targeting PKK/YPG positions near the Tishrin Dam in eastern Aleppo. The Turkish Defense Ministry has signaled readiness for cross-border operations if terrorist groups do not disarm, citing the use of civilians as human shields by PKK/YPG near the Tishrin Dam as a human rights violation. Turkey's actions are in response to the recent change in Syrian leadership, with Ankara demanding that the new administration address the YPG issue.
View original story
Similar markets
Calls for diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Sanctions on Turkey • 25%
Calls for further negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by international bodies • 25%
Support for Türkiye's actions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Calls for restraint and diplomatic talks • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%