Market
Outcome of Turkey's threat against Israeli planes by April 30, 2025?
3
Turkey•Israeli Air Force•Syrian•Israel•Kurdish•Turkish General Staff•Israeli•PKK•Syria•Syrian Kurds•Turkish•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military engagement occurs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and official government statements
Story
Turkey Threatens to Shoot Down Israeli Planes Over Kurdish Support, Following Turkish General Staff Orders
Dec 14, 2024, 10:42 PM
Turkey has signaled its readiness to engage militarily against the Israeli Air Force in Syrian airspace if Israel provides support to Kurdish forces. Reports indicate that the Turkish General Staff has received orders to shoot down Israeli aircraft should they assist the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) in Syria. The Syrian Kurds have reportedly requested Israeli assistance, including air support, in their fight against pro-Turkish factions. Turkish media outlets have emphasized the seriousness of this situation, suggesting that Turkey perceives a potential conflict with Israel if such support is rendered. The geopolitical implications of this situation are significant, with Turkey expressing concerns about maintaining a strong defensive posture in the region, particularly in light of increased American military presence in Kurdish areas.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation of Turkey • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No cooperation • 25%
Informal cooperation only • 25%
Formal coordination established • 25%
Coordination rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Military Operation Launched • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution Achieved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military confrontation occurs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Resolution passed at UN • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
No significant diplomatic outcome • 25%
Bilateral talks between Israel and Iran • 25%