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How will the Venezuelan government respond to opposition protests by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased repression • 25%
Dialogue with opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant response • 25%
Official government press releases and news reports
Story
María Corina Machado Emerges After 133 Days to Join Protests, Risks Arrest
Jan 9, 2025, 06:37 PM
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado emerged from hiding on Thursday to join anti-government protests in Caracas, risking arrest after 133 days in clandestinity. Accompanied by fellow opposition leader Juan Pablo Guanipa, Machado appeared atop a vehicle in the Chacao district, waving the Venezuelan flag and addressing hundreds of supporters. "We are not afraid. I am here with you, until the end," she declared. Her appearance comes ahead of President Nicolás Maduro's planned inauguration, which the opposition claims is based on a fraudulent re-election. "From today, we are in a new phase," Machado said. "Whatever they do tomorrow, they are burying themselves." Machado had been in hiding for months due to multiple arrest warrants and threats against her by the Maduro government.
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Protests subside with González in power • 25%
Protests escalate into violence • 25%
Protests subside with Maduro in power • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Minor clashes, no major incidents • 25%
Significant clashes with injuries • 25%
Major violence with fatalities • 25%
Peaceful with no incidents • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Opposition gains significant political concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%
Protests lead to increased government crackdown • 25%
Protests dissipate without significant change • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests remain steady • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests escalate into conflict • 25%
Protests lead to leadership change • 25%
Protests subside with no change • 25%
Protests result in significant international sanctions • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%