Market
Will the U.S. rescind Trump-era restrictions on Cuban transactions by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government publications or announcements reported by credible news outlets
Story
U.S. to Remove Cuba from Terrorism List, Reversing Trump's 2021 Designation
Jan 14, 2025, 07:31 PM
U.S. officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to the Associated Press, have indicated that the Biden administration is expected to remove Cuba from the U.S. list of State Sponsors of Terrorism. The decision would reverse former President Donald Trump's 2021 designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism. Officials reportedly concluded that there is no information supporting Cuba's inclusion on the list. The administration also plans to rescind Trump-era restrictions and eliminate the restricted list that limits transactions with certain Cuban entities. The move is expected to prompt the release of political prisoners in response to U.S. actions. An official announcement is anticipated soon.
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No restrictions lifted • 25%
All restrictions lifted • 25%
Major restrictions lifted • 25%
Minor restrictions lifted • 25%
Restoration of full diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Further easing of sanctions • 25%
Reimposition of sanctions • 25%
Uncertain outcome • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Rescind Trump-era restrictions • 25%
All of the above • 25%
Suspend expropriation claims • 25%
Lift terrorism designation • 25%