Market
What will be the international response to the Ursa Major incident by June 30, 2025?
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Russian•Ursa Major•Mediterranean Sea•Russian Foreign Ministry•Cartagena•Murcia•Spain•Algeria•Oboronlogistika•Russian Ministry of Defense•US•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Call for international investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Russia's claims • 25%
Statements or actions from international bodies such as the UN, NATO, or EU
Story
Russia Says 'Terrorist Act' Sank Ursa Major Cargo Ship; Two Crew Missing
Dec 25, 2024, 04:04 PM
A Russian cargo ship named Ursa Major sank in the Mediterranean Sea after an explosion, leaving two crew members missing, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry. Fourteen crew members were rescued and transported to the port of Cartagena, Murcia, Spain. The ship sank in international waters between Spain and Algeria on December 24th following an explosion in the engine room. Oboronlogistika, the state-owned company owned by the Russian Ministry of Defense, claimed that a 'terrorist act' caused the sinking, stating that three consecutive explosions occurred on the starboard side near the stern on December 23rd, causing a 25-degree list to starboard. The Ursa Major was reportedly on the US sanctions list and had been used to supply operations in Syria. Russian authorities have launched an investigation into the incident.
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Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal Investigation by International Maritime Organization • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
No foul play • 25%
Foul play confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
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Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Formal condemnations without further action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No international response • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Interpol • 25%
Russia • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions imposed by the EU • 25%