Market
Primary international response to Ursa Major attack by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
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Reports from international organizations and major news outlets
Story
Russian Cargo Ship Ursa Major Sinks After Terrorist Attack Near Spanish Coast; Three Explosions Reported
Dec 25, 2024, 02:38 PM
The Russian cargo ship Ursa Major has reportedly sunk in the Mediterranean Sea following a terrorist attack, as confirmed by its owner, Oboronlogistika. The attack involved three explosions on the starboard side of the vessel, which led to its sinking. This incident occurred near the Spanish coast and has prompted Russia to open a criminal case regarding the ship's sinking. The Ursa Major was reportedly on the U.S. sanctions list prior to the incident. The attack has been characterized as a deliberate act of terrorism by multiple sources, including Russian media and the ship's owning company.
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Call for international investigation • 25%
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Formal Investigation by International Maritime Organization • 25%
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