Market
Will the two missing crew members from Ursa Major be recovered by March 31, 2025?
3
Russian•Ursa Major•Mediterranean Sea•Russian Foreign Ministry•Cartagena•Murcia•Spain•Algeria•Oboronlogistika•Russian Ministry of Defense•US•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Russian authorities or international news agencies
Story
Russia Says 'Terrorist Act' Sank Ursa Major Cargo Ship; Two Crew Missing
Dec 25, 2024, 04:04 PM
A Russian cargo ship named Ursa Major sank in the Mediterranean Sea after an explosion, leaving two crew members missing, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry. Fourteen crew members were rescued and transported to the port of Cartagena, Murcia, Spain. The ship sank in international waters between Spain and Algeria on December 24th following an explosion in the engine room. Oboronlogistika, the state-owned company owned by the Russian Ministry of Defense, claimed that a 'terrorist act' caused the sinking, stating that three consecutive explosions occurred on the starboard side near the stern on December 23rd, causing a 25-degree list to starboard. The Ursa Major was reportedly on the US sanctions list and had been used to supply operations in Syria. Russian authorities have launched an investigation into the incident.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Lost Forever • 25%
Recovered and Scrapped • 25%
Recovered and Delivered • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All crew rescued safely • 25%
Some crew rescued, some missing • 25%
All crew missing • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Confirmed terrorist attack • 25%
Sabotage by unknown actors • 25%