Market
What will be the international response to the Qatar-mediated agreement by February 5, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Broad support and praise • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mostly criticism • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international organizations or governments reported by credible news outlets
Story
Qatar Announces Hamas to Release Arbel Yehud and Five Other Hostages Under New Agreement
Jan 26, 2025, 09:46 PM
Qatar's Foreign Ministry announced that an agreement has been reached in which Hamas will release Israeli hostages Arbel Yehud, Agam Berger, and possibly Keith Siegel before Friday. Additionally, Hamas will release three more hostages on Saturday in accordance with the agreement. In exchange, Israel will open the Netzarim highway and allow displaced Palestinians to return.
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Criticism • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Positive reinforcement • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Agreement delayed • 25%
Agreement signed and implemented • 25%
Agreement signed but not implemented • 25%
Agreement not signed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread criticism • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Increased international pressure on Hamas • 25%
Increased support for Israel's stance • 25%
Calls for independent mediation • 25%
Other international actions • 25%
Positive from EU • 25%
Positive from US • 25%
Negative from US • 25%
Negative from EU • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Call for immediate ceasefire • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Successful release of all hostages • 25%
No release of hostages • 25%