Market
What will be the international response to the Hamas hostage situation by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
International peacekeeping force deployed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Official statements from the United Nations or other international bodies, reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump's National Security Advisor Mike Waltz Warns Hamas: 'Release Our Hostages If You Want to Live' Including Seven American Citizens
Dec 24, 2024, 04:17 PM
Mike Waltz, the incoming National Security Advisor under President Trump, issued a stern warning to Hamas regarding the hostages held in Gaza, stating, "Release our hostages if you want to live." This statement underscores the U.S. administration's firm stance on the issue, with Waltz emphasizing that there would be severe consequences for taking American hostages. He reiterated that both political parties in the U.S. agree on the necessity of returning the hostages, which includes seven American citizens currently in captivity. In a related development, a spokesman for Hamas's armed wing indicated that the fate of the Israeli hostages is contingent on the progress made by the Israeli military in Gaza. This assertion highlights the ongoing tensions and the complex dynamics surrounding the hostage situation, as both sides continue to exchange threats and demands.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Gaza • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Hamas • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages remain in captivity • 25%
Hostages harmed or neutralized • 25%
Hostages successfully rescued • 25%
Release some hostages • 25%
Other • 25%
Release all hostages • 25%
Continue holding hostages • 25%
Increased sanctions on Gaza • 25%
Increased aid to Gaza • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Little to no reaction • 25%
Broad international support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative reactions • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Military action initiated • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
UN sanctions against Hamas • 25%
UN sanctions against Israel • 25%