Market
What will be the future of the Otzma Yehudit party in the Israeli government by January 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resign and Not Return • 25%
Resign and Return • 25%
Do Not Resign • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Otzma Yehudit party or reputable news sources
Story
Minister Ben-Gvir to Resign if Gaza Ceasefire Deal Approved, Calls Agreement 'Disgrace'
Jan 16, 2025, 07:26 PM
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has threatened to resign from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government over a proposed ceasefire deal with Hamas in Gaza. The deal, reportedly brokered by Qatar, involves the release of 33 Israeli hostages and 1,000 Palestinian prisoners. In a press conference held at 9:00 PM, Ben-Gvir declared, 'This deal is a disgrace,' and announced that if the cabinet approves the agreement, he and his Otzma Yehudit party will resign from the coalition. He added that if the war against Hamas resumes, they may return to the government. Ben-Gvir's potential resignation underscores internal divisions within the Israeli government regarding the handling of the conflict in Gaza. The cabinet is expected to meet tomorrow to discuss the deal.
View original story
Similar markets
Resign and rejoin later • 25%
Join opposition • 25%
Permanently resign • 25%
Remain in government • 25%
Itamar Ben-Gvir • 25%
Party dissolved • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
New leader from current members • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
Likud Party • 25%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Other parties • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Does not resign • 25%
Resigns and remains out of government • 25%
Resigns and rejoins government • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Face internal party changes • 25%
Gain seats in Knesset • 25%
Lose seats in Knesset • 25%
Maintain current standing • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Likud • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
Other parties • 25%
