Market
Israeli government collapse by end of 2025 due to Otzma Yehudit resignation?
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Israeli National Security•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza ceasefire•Hamas•Otzma Yehudit•Jewish Power•Negev•Galilee•Yitzhak Wasserlauf•Amichai Eliyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news outlets
Story
Israeli National Security Minister Ben-Gvir and Party Resign Over Gaza Ceasefire Deal
Jan 19, 2025, 08:29 AM
On January 19, 2025, Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir resigned from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government in protest over the Gaza ceasefire deal with Hamas. The ceasefire agreement includes a hostage exchange. Ben-Gvir, leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party, announced his resignation along with other party ministers, including Negev and Galilee Development Minister Yitzhak Wasserlauf and Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu. He criticized the deal as a capitulation to Hamas.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Do Not Resign • 25%
Resign and Return • 25%
Resign and Not Return • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Party dissolved • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
New leader from current members • 25%
Itamar Ben-Gvir • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Permanently resign • 25%
Remain in government • 25%
Resign and rejoin later • 25%
Join opposition • 25%
Strengthened Netanyahu's position • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Weakened Netanyahu's position • 25%
Led to significant policy changes • 25%
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Yes • 50%