Market
Party gaining most influence in Israeli government post-Otzma Yehudit resignation by end of 2025?
2
Israeli National Security•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza ceasefire•Hamas•Otzma Yehudit•Jewish Power•Negev•Galilee•Yitzhak Wasserlauf•Amichai Eliyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Likud Party • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Other parties • 25%
Analysis from political analysts or credible news outlets
Story
Israeli National Security Minister Ben-Gvir and Party Resign Over Gaza Ceasefire Deal
Jan 19, 2025, 08:29 AM
On January 19, 2025, Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir resigned from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government in protest over the Gaza ceasefire deal with Hamas. The ceasefire agreement includes a hostage exchange. Ben-Gvir, leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party, announced his resignation along with other party ministers, including Negev and Galilee Development Minister Yitzhak Wasserlauf and Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu. He criticized the deal as a capitulation to Hamas.
View original story
Similar markets
Other parties • 25%
Yesh Atid • 25%
Otzma Yehudit • 25%
Likud • 25%
Resign and Return • 25%
Do Not Resign • 25%
Resign and Not Return • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
New leader from current members • 25%
Itamar Ben-Gvir • 25%
Party dissolved • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
Resign and rejoin later • 25%
Join opposition • 25%
Permanently resign • 25%
Remain in government • 25%
Lose seats in Knesset • 25%
Maintain current standing • 25%
Face internal party changes • 25%
Gain seats in Knesset • 25%
Macron's coalition • 25%
Socialist Party • 25%
National Rally • 25%
Other party • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Israeli Defense Ministry • 25%
Public opinion • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Ultra-Orthodox leaders • 25%
Resigns and rejoins government • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Does not resign • 25%
Resigns and remains out of government • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Other • 25%