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What will be the confirmed outcome of the alleged Israeli incursion near Damascus by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed incursion • 25%
No incursion confirmed • 25%
Partial incursion confirmed • 25%
Outcome remains disputed • 25%
Official statements from involved parties and verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Israeli Forces Allegedly Reach 25 km from Damascus Amid Buffer Zone Seizure, Over 250 Airstrikes
Dec 10, 2024, 08:30 AM
Reports emerged on Tuesday claiming that an Israeli military incursion into Syria had advanced approximately 25 kilometers (16 miles) southwest of Damascus, according to multiple security sources. The incursion was said to follow Israel's seizure of a buffer zone in southern Syria and over 250 airstrikes on Syrian military targets, including army and air bases. However, an Israeli military spokesperson denied these claims, stating that Israeli forces have not moved beyond the buffer zone near the Golan Heights and are operating solely within defensive positions close to the border. The spokesperson dismissed the reports as 'completely incorrect.'
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Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Withdrawal without conditions • 25%
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Continued military presence • 25%
Ongoing occupation • 25%
Withdrawal without conflict • 25%
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UN condemnation • 25%
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Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
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Complete withdrawal with no incidents • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
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Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
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Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%