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What will be the outcome of Israel's troop deployment in Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal with no incidents • 25%
Prolonged deployment due to ongoing threats • 25%
Escalation into wider conflict • 25%
Deployment leads to peace negotiations • 25%
Reports from international organizations, government statements, or credible news agencies.
Story
Israel Informs U.S. of Troop Deployment in Syria, Describes Actions as Temporary and Tactical for Self-Defense Against Terrorist Groups
Dec 10, 2024, 09:59 AM
Israel has informed Washington of its intention to deploy troops into Syrian territory, with U.S. officials indicating that there is no opposition to this move. The Israeli military's actions are described as temporary and tactical, aimed at defending its borders against terrorist groups. A spokesperson from the U.S. State Department confirmed that Israel's operations in Syria are considered self-defense, especially following the removal of the Bashar al-Assad government by rebel factions. The U.S. has acknowledged Israel's right to take action against terrorist organizations operating near its borders.
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Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Israel withdraws troops • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
Withdrawal without conflict • 25%
Ongoing occupation • 25%
Extended military conflict • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Expansion of control • 25%
Continued presence with limited engagement • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Withdrawal with conditions • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Withdrawal without conditions • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
IDF maintains control in targeted areas • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
IDF withdraws without achieving objectives • 25%
Operations escalate into broader conflict • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New security agreement reached • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Significant setbacks for Israel • 25%
Stalemate with no clear victor • 25%
Complete victory over Iran and proxies • 25%
Partial victory with ongoing conflicts • 25%
