Market
In which area will North Korea most significantly enhance its military capabilities by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Missile technology • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Conventional forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible international defense analysis organizations or government assessments
Story
US Warns North Korea Gains War Experience in Ukraine's Kursk Region, Enhancing Capabilities
Jan 9, 2025, 08:25 AM
The United States has issued a warning that North Korea is enhancing its war capabilities by gaining combat experience through its involvement in the conflict alongside Russia against Ukraine. According to Deputy U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Dorothy Camille Shea, over 12,000 North Korean troops are currently deployed in Russia and have been engaging Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region since last month. Shea highlighted that North Korea is significantly benefiting from receiving Russian military equipment, technology, and experience, which is making Pyongyang more capable of waging war against its neighbors. The U.S. also expressed concerns that North Korea might leverage these improvements to promote weapons sales and military training contracts globally.
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New Missile Technology • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved Conventional Forces • 25%
Enhanced Cyber Warfare • 25%
Missile launch • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Intermediate-range ballistic missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
No major development • 25%
Improves missile range significantly • 25%
Enhances missile accuracy • 25%
No significant advancements • 25%
Develops operational hypersonic missile • 25%
Missile test • 25%
Other • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Cyber warfare capabilities • 25%
No significant improvement • 25%
Ground force enhancement • 25%
Missile technology improvement • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
No change • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Increased capacity • 25%
Decreased capacity • 25%
Short-range missile • 25%
Medium-range missile • 25%
Long-range missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Nuclear capabilities • 25%
Conventional forces • 25%
Space capabilities • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%