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What will be North Korea's next significant military action by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Nuclear test • 25%
Missile launch • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Reports from international monitoring agencies or major news outlets
Story
North Korea's Kim Jong Un Announces 'Toughest' Strategy Against U.S., Citing Nuclear Military Bloc
Dec 29, 2024, 03:44 AM
North Korea has announced a 'toughest' strategy against the United States at a key party meeting of the Workers' Party of Korea, held from December 23 to 27, according to state media KCNA. The strategy is aimed at countering the U.S. for North Korea's security and national interests. Leader Kim Jong Un, who presided over the meeting, criticized the U.S., labeling it as the 'most reactionary state' and accused the U.S., South Korea, and Japan of forming an 'aggressive nuclear military bloc.' Kim also called for the continuous enhancement of the North Korean army's warfare capabilities and the development of defense science and technology to bolster war deterrence. During the session, Pak Thae-song was appointed as the new premier, replacing Kim Tok-hun, and Choe Son-hui was named to the party's politburo.
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Military exercise • 25%
Other • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Missile test • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Another missile test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
No major action • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
No major development • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Cyber Attacks • 25%
Increased Military Drills • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Missile technology • 25%
Other • 25%
Conventional forces • 25%
Enhanced Cyber Warfare • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved Conventional Forces • 25%
New Missile Technology • 25%
Short-range missile • 25%
Medium-range missile • 25%
Long-range missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Ukraine using ATACMS again • 25%
Neither side using long-range missiles • 25%
Both sides using long-range missiles • 25%
Russia using hypersonic missiles • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
Intermediate-range ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Troop Deployment • 25%
Supply of Drones • 25%
Artillery Supply • 25%
Other Military Support • 25%