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What will be the assessment of U.S. military support to Ukraine's effectiveness by July 25, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Highly effective • 25%
Moderately effective • 25%
Slightly effective • 25%
Not effective • 25%
Reports from the Pentagon or independent defense analysts.
Story
Trump's 90-Day Foreign Aid Pause Does Not Affect Military Assistance to Ukraine, Zelenskyy Expresses Relief
Jan 25, 2025, 08:40 AM
President Donald Trump's executive order, which imposes a 90-day pause on international support, does not affect military assistance programs to Ukraine, according to the Pentagon. The order, signed on Trump's first day in office, applies only to development programs and not to security assistance, ensuring that military aid to Ukraine remains unaffected. This clarification was confirmed to the Ukrainian service of Voice of America by the Pentagon, emphasizing that contracts for weapon production under the USAI program, as well as any residual and previously planned weapon deliveries from U.S. stockpiles under the PDA program, will continue as scheduled. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed relief over the continuation of military aid, stating, 'I am focused on military aid, it is not stopped, thank God.'
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Aid completed successfully • 25%
Aid redirected to other priorities • 25%
Aid halted due to political changes • 25%
Aid partially completed • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No change • 25%
Highly Effective • 25%
Moderately Effective • 25%
Slightly Effective • 25%
Ineffective • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Increase support • 25%
End support • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
No noticeable change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Reduced support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
No support • 25%
Maintained current level • 25%
Increased arms shipments • 25%
Training support • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Significantly Improved • 25%
Moderately Improved • 25%
No Change • 25%
Moderate improvement in air defenses • 25%
Significant improvement in air defenses • 25%
No noticeable improvement • 25%
Degradation of air defenses • 25%
No noticeable change • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%