Market
What type of reforms will the Palestinian Authority implement by end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Palestinian•Palestinian Authority•Gaza Strip•Hamas•Blinken•Israel•West Bank•Gaza•United Nations
Resolution / Starting Odds
Political reforms • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Security reforms • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
Official statements from the Palestinian Authority or credible international news agencies
Story
Blinken Urges Israel to Accept Time-Bound Path for Palestinian Statehood, Calls for Palestinian Authority to Govern Gaza Strip
Jan 14, 2025, 03:53 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken outlined a framework for a future Palestinian state during a recent address. He emphasized the need for the Palestinian Authority to take control of the Gaza Strip following a ceasefire, ensuring that Hamas does not govern the area. Blinken stated that reforms within the Palestinian Authority are essential for this transition. He urged Israel to accept a 'time-bound, conditions-based' path toward the establishment of a Palestinian state, advocating for a unified governance structure between the West Bank and Gaza. Blinken also called for international partners to assist in creating an interim administration in Gaza, which would operate under the oversight of a senior United Nations official. The interim security mission would involve forces from partner nations and vetted Palestinian personnel, aiming to stabilize the region post-conflict.
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Significant reforms implemented • 25%
No reforms implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial reforms implemented • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
Salam Fayyad • 25%
No new leader appointed • 25%
Mohammad Mustafa • 25%
Stable with no major changes • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Collapse of authority • 25%
Strengthened through external support • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
No clear leadership change • 25%
Interim leadership established • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Mahmoud Abbas remains President • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
Increased oversight • 25%