Market
What will be the status of the Palestinian Authority by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stable with no major changes • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Collapse of authority • 25%
Strengthened through external support • 25%
International news agencies and official announcements
Story
Israeli Authorities Heighten Security on Highway 1 in Jerusalem Amid Ongoing Investigation of Two Armed Individuals
Dec 15, 2024, 12:11 PM
Israeli authorities have heightened security measures in Jerusalem following reports of a potential terror threat. Security forces are on high alert due to intelligence indicating that two armed individuals were traveling in a Land Cruiser. Roadblocks have been established along Highway 1, and police have deployed special units, including the Shin Bet's counterterrorism team, to search for the suspects. Despite the arrest of one individual, authorities continue to search for additional suspects, indicating that the situation remains unresolved. Reports suggest that the security situation in the West Bank is precarious, with fears of rapid destabilization of the Palestinian Authority. The Israeli cabinet is convening to discuss the increasingly volatile conditions in the region.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No clear leadership change • 25%
Interim leadership established • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Mahmoud Abbas remains President • 25%
No new leader appointed • 25%
Salam Fayyad • 25%
Mohammad Mustafa • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Security reforms • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
